Publications scientifiques

Voici la liste des publications réalisées par les membres du projet ARRIMÉ :

Une mise à jour sera faite prochainement pour vous permettre de faire une sélection par date, par auteur ou par sujet à partir de notre base de données des publications sous l’application ZOTERO.

Alpizar, M., Di Luca, A., Gachon, P., & Roberge, F. (2026). Mesoscale Convective Systems in Northeastern North America: Identification and evaluation with the convection-permitting version of the Canadian Regional Climate Model. Climate Dynamics, 64(129). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-026-08102-6

Cloutier-Gervais, M. (2025). Évaluation de la performance du modèle régional canadien du climat pour simuler les cyclones extratropicaux au nord-est Amérique du Nord [Mémoire accepté, Université du Québec à Montréal]. https://archipel.uqam.ca/19368/
De Meyer, V., Di Luca, A., & Gachon, P. (2025). An Eulerian Evaluation of Intense Low-Pressure Systems over North America in CMIP6 and a Regional Climate Model. Climate Dynamics.

Ghosh, S., Lucas-Picher, P., Roy, P., Gachon, P., & Di Luca, A. (2025). Optimal Configuration of a Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Model in Simulating Precipitation Extremes: The Saguenay Flood. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 26(11), 1751–1774. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-25-0011.1

Marois, C. (2025). Intégration de facteurs de correction dans la modélisation conjointe des précipitations extrêmes pour l’estimation des courbes IDF en climat futur [Master’s Thesis, Polytechnique Montréal]. https://publications.polymtl.ca/67714/

Martin, A. (2024). Estimation statistique de la précipitation maximale probable à l’aide de la loi de Pearson de type I [Master’s thesis, Polytechnique Montréal]. https://www.proquest.com/openview/30fe3b54c5cf5b1615cfd2cb117b7e94/1?pq-origsite=gscholar&cbl=18750&diss=y

Martin, A., Fournier, É., & Jalbert, J. (2025). Statistical estimation of probable maximum precipitation. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 29, 4811–4824. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-4811-2025

Michaud, Amélie (2026). Caractéristiques des vents horaires et des rafales de vents telles que simulées par un modèle régional du climat à très haute résolution. Mémoire. Montréal (Québec, Canada), Université du Québec à Montréal, Maîtrise en sciences de l’environnement. https://archipel.uqam.ca/secure/id/eprint/20137

Voici la liste des publications d’autres auteurs :

Abramowitz, G., Herger, N., Gutmann, E., Hammerling, D., Knutti, R., Leduc, M., Lorenz, R., Pincus, R., and Schmidt, G. A. (2019). ESD Reviews: Model dependence in multi-model climate ensembles: weighting, sub-selection and out-of-sample testing, Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 91–105, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-91-2019. 

Adinolfi, M., Raffa, M., Reder, A., & Mercogliano, P. (2021). Evaluation and expected changes of summer precipitation at convection permitting scale with COSMO-CLM over alpine space. Atmosphere, 12, 54. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos12010054 

Alexander D. (2021). Cascading Disasters: Multiple Risk Reduction and Resilience. In: Eslamian S., Eslamian F. (eds) Handbook of Disaster Risk Reduction for Resilience. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-61278-8_8 

Alfieri, L., Bisselink, B., Dottori, F., Naumann, G., De Roo, A., Salamon, P., Wyser, K., & Feyen, L. (2017). Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world. Earth’s Future, 5(2), 171–182. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000485 

AMAP (2021). Arctic Climate Change Update 2021: Key Trends and Impacts. Summary for Policymakers. Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP), Oslo, Norway. 16 pp. Retrieved July 11, 2026, from https://www.amap.no/documents/doc/amap-arctic-climate-change-update-2021-key-trends-and-impacts/3594 

Argüeso, D., Romero, R., & Homar, V. (2020). Precipitation features of the maritime continent in parameterized and explicit convection models. Journal of Climate, 33, 2449–2466. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0416.1 

BAC (Bureau d’assurance du Canada). (2015). La gestion financière du risque d’inondation. https://a.storyblok.com/f/339220/x/6083a5d247/the_financial_management_of_flood_risk_fr.pdf 

Ban, N., Caillaud, C., Coppola, E. et al. (2021). The first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution, part I: evaluation of precipitation. Clim Dyn (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05708-w 

Ban N, Schmidli J, Schär C (2014). Evaluation of the convection-resolving regional climate modeling approach in decade-long simulations. J Geophys Res Atmos 119:7889–7907. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD021478 

Ban, N., Schmidli, J., & Schär, C. (2015). Heavy precipitation in a changing climate: Does short-term summer precipitation increase faster? Geophysical Research Letters, 42(4), 1165–1172. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062588 

Bao, J., & Sherwood, S. C. (2019). The role of convective self-aggregation in extreme instantaneous versus daily precipitation. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11, 19–33. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018MS001503 

Beauchamp, J., Leconte, R., Trudel, M., & Brissette, F. (2013). Estimation of the summer-fall PMP and PMF of a northern watershed under a changed climate: PMP and PMF Estimation Under Climate Change. Water Resources Research, 49(6), 3852–3862. https://doi.org/10.1002/wrcr.20336  

Ben Alaya, M. A., Zwiers, F., & Zhang, X. (2018). Probable Maximum Precipitation: Its Estimation and Uncertainty Quantification Using Bivariate Extreme Value Analysis. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19(4), 679–694. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0110.1 

Berry, G., Reeder, M. J., & Jakob, C. (2011). A global climatology of atmospheric fronts: GLOBAL CLIMATOLOGY OF ATMOSPHERIC FRONTS. Geophysical Research Letters, 38(4), n/a-n/a. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL046451 

Brasseur, O. (2001). Development and Application of a Physical Approach to Estimating Wind Gusts. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2001)129<0005:DAAOAP>2.0.CO;2.  

Brönnimann, S., Rajczak, J., Fischer, E. M., Raible, C. C., Rohrer, M., & Schär, C. (2018). Changing seasonality of moderate and extreme precipitation events in the Alps. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 18(7), 2047–2056. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2047-2018 

Bush, E. and Lemmen, D.S., editors (2019). Canada’s Changing Climate Report; Government of Canada, Ottawa, ON. 444 p., https://changingclimate.ca/site/assets/uploads/sites/2/2019/04/CCCR_FULLREPORT-EN-FINAL.pdf 

C3S (2021). The Climate Data Store of the European Copernicus project: https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/#!/home 

Catto, J. L., & Dowdy, A. (2021). Understanding compound hazards from a weather system perspective. Weather and Climate Extremes, 32, 100313. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100313 

Cholette, M., Laprise, R., & Thériault, J. M. (2015). Perspectives for Very High-Resolution Climate Simulations with Nested Models: Illustration of Potential in Simulating St. Lawrence River Valley Channelling Winds with the Fifth-Generation Canadian Regional Climate Model. Climate, 3(2), 283–307. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli3020283 

Clavet-Gaumont, J., Huard, D., Frigon, A., Koenig, K., Slota, P., Rousseau, A., Klein, I., Thiémonge, N., Houdré, F., Perdikaris, J., Turcotte, R., Lafleur, J., Larouche, B. (2017). Probable maximum flood in a changing climate: an overview for Canadian basins. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies 13. 1–25. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2017.07.003  

Coppola, E., Raffaele, F., Giorgi, F. et al. Climate hazard indices projections based on CORDEX-CORE, CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble. Clim Dyn 57, 1293–1383 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05640-z 

Council of Canadian Academies. (2019). Canada’s Top Climate Change Risks. Council of Canadian Academies. https://cca-reports.ca/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Report-Canada-top-climate-change-risks.pdf 

Dee, D.P., Uppala, S.M., Simmons, A.J., Berrisford, P., Poli, P., Kobayashi, S., Andrae, U., Balmaseda, M.A., Balsamo, G., Bauer, P., Bechtold, P., Beljaars, A.C.M., van de Berg, L., Bidlot, J., Bormann, N., Delsol, C., Dragani, R., Fuentes, M., Geer, A.J., Haimberger, L., Healy, S.B., Hersbach, H., Hólm, E.V., Isaksen, L., Kållberg, P., Köhler, M., Matricardi, M., McNally, A.P., Monge-Sanz, B.M., Morcrette, J.-.-J., Park, B.-.-K., Peubey, C., de Rosnay, P., Tavolato, C., Thépaut, J.-.-N. and Vitart, F. (2011), The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 137: 553-597. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.828 

Diaconescu, E. P., Gachon, P., Laprise, R., & Scinocca, J. F. (2016). Evaluation of Precipitation Indices over North America from Various Configurations of Regional Climate Models. Atmosphere-Ocean, 54(4), 418–439. https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2016.1185005 

 Di Luca, A., Argüeso, D., Sherwood, S., & Evans, J. P. (2021). Evaluating precipitation errors using the environmentally conditioned intensity-frequency decomposition method. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13, e2020MS002447. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002447 

Dowdy, A. J., & Catto, J. L. (2017). Extreme weather caused by concurrent cyclone, front and thunderstorm occurrences. Scientific Reports, 7(1), 40359. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep40359 

Eyring, V., Bony, S., Meehl, G. A., Senior, C. A., Stevens, B., Stouffer, R. J., & Taylor, K. E. (2016). Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization. Geoscientific Model Development, 9(5), 1937–1958. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-1937-2016 

Faranda, D., Fery, L., Dubrulle, B., Podvin, B., and Pons, F., “Learning a weather dictionary of atmospheric patterns using Latent Dirichlet Allocation”, vol. 2021, Art. no. IN42B-01, 2021. https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2021AGUFMIN42B..01F  

Feser, F., Rockel, B., von Storch, H., Winterfeldt, J., & Zahn, M. (2011). Regional Climate Models Add Value to Global Model Data: A Review and Selected Examples. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92(9), 1181-1192. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011BAMS3061.1 

Fortin, J.-P., Turcotte, R., Massicotte, S., Moussa, R., Fitzback, J., & Villeneuve, J.-P. (2001). Distributed Watershed Model Compatible with Remote Sensing and GIS Data. I: Description of Model. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 6(2), 91–99. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1084-0699(2001)6:2(91) 

Geoslope (2021). Heat and mass transfer modeling with GeoStudio. GEOSLOPE International Ltd. 

Global Risks Report 2021. (n.d.). World Economic Forum. Retrieved July 11, 2026, from https://www.weforum.org/publications/the-global-risks-report-2021/  

GoldSim Technology Group LLC. (2017). GoldSim: Using Simulation to Move Beyond the Limitations of Spreadsheet Models [White Paper]. GoldSim Technology Group LLC. https://media.goldsim.com/Documents/WhitePapers/Spreadsheet_GoldSim.pdf  

Gutowski, W. J., Jr, Ullrich, P. A., Hall, A., Leung, L. R., O’Brien, T. A., Patricola-DiRosario, C. M., Arritt, R. W., Bukovsky, M. S., Calvin, K. V., Feng, Z., Jones, A. D., Kooperman, G. J., Monier, E., Pritchard, M. S., Pryor, S. C., Qian, Y., Rhoades, A. M., Roberts, A. F., Sakaguchi, K., Urban, N., & Zarzycki, C. (2020). The Ongoing Need for High-Resolution Regional Climate Models: Process Understanding and Stakeholder Information. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101(5), E664-E683. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0113.1  

GEOSLOPE International Ltd. 2021. Heat and mass transfer modeling with GeoStudio 2021. Calgary, Alberta, Canada. https://www.scribd.com/document/812009018/Heat-and-Mass-Transfer-Modeling-Geostudio  

Heikkilä, U., Sandvik, A., & Sorteberg, A. (2011). Dynamical downscaling of ERA-40 in complex terrain using the WRF regional climate model. Climate Dynamics, 37(7), 1551–1564. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0928-6  

Hersbach, H., Bell, B., Berrisford, P., Hirahara, S., Horányi, A., Muñoz‐Sabater, J., Nicolas, J., Peubey, C., Radu, R., Schepers, D., Simmons, A., Soci, C., Abdalla, S., Abellan, X., Balsamo, G., Bechtold, P., Biavati, G., Bidlot, J., Bonavita, M., … Thépaut, J. (2020). The ERA5 global reanalysis. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146(730), 1999–2049. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3803 

Hershfield, D. M. (1965). Method for estimating probable maximum rainfall. Journal – American Water Works Association, 57(8), 965–972. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1551-8833.1965.tb01486.x 

Hewson, T. D. (1998). Objective fronts. Meteorological Applications, 5(1), 37–65. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1350482798000553 

Hiraga Y., Y. Iseri, M. D. Warner, C. D. Frans, A. M. Duren, J. F. England, M. Levent Kavvas (2021). Estimation of Long-duration Maximum Precipitation during a winter season for large basins dominated by Atmospheric Rivers using a Numerical Weather Model, Journal of Hydrology, 598, 126224, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126224

IPCC, 2013: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535 pp. 

IPCC, 2018: Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, H.-O. Pörtner, D. Roberts, J. Skea, P.R. Shukla, A. Pirani, W. Moufouma-Okia, C. Péan, R. Pidcock, S. Connors, J.B.R. Matthews, Y. Chen, X. Zhou, M.I. Gomis, E. Lonnoy, T. Maycock, M. Tignor, and T. Waterfield (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 616 pp. https://doi.org/ 10.1017/9781009157940. 

IPCC, 2021: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 2391 pp., doi:10.1017/9781009157896. 

Ishida, K., Ohara, N., Kavvas, M. L., Chen, Z. Q., & Anderson, M. L. (2018). Impact of air temperature on physically-based maximum precipitation estimation through change in moisture holding capacity of air. Journal of Hydrology, 556, 1050–1063. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.10.008 

Kay, A. L., Rudd, A. C., Davies, H. N., Kendon, E. J., & Jones, R. G. (2015). Use of very high resolution climate model data for hydrological modelling: Baseline performance and future flood changes. Climatic Change, 133(2), 193–208. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1455-6 

Leduc M et al. (2019). The ClimEx project: a 50- member ensemble of climate change projections at 12-km resolution over Europe and northeastern north America with the Canadian regional climate model (CRCM5) J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol. 58 663–93. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0021.1

Lind, P., Belušić, D., Christensen, O. B., Dobler, A., Kjellström, E., Landgren, O., Lindstedt, D., Matte, D., Pedersen, R. A., Toivonen, E., & Wang, F. (2020). Benefits and added value of convection-permitting climate modeling over Fenno-Scandinavia. Climate Dynamics, 55(7–8), 1893–1912. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05359-3 

Lind, P., Lindstedt, D., Kjellström, E., & Jones, C. (2016). Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Summer Precipitation over Central Europe in a Suite of High-Resolution Climate Models. Journal of Climate, 29(10), 3501–3518. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0463.1 

Lucas‐Picher, P., Argüeso, D., Brisson, E., Tramblay, Y., Berg, P., Lemonsu, A., Kotlarski, S., & Caillaud, C. (2021). Convection ‐permitting modeling with regional climate models: Latest developments and next steps. WIREs Climate Change, 12(6), e731. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.731 

Lucas-Picher, P., Laprise, R., & Winger, K. (2017). Evidence of added value in North American regional climate model hindcast simulations using ever-increasing horizontal resolutions. Climate Dynamics, 48(7–8), 2611–2633. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3227-z 

Maraun, D., Shepherd, T. G., Widmann, M., Zappa, G., Walton, D., Gutiérrez, J. M., Hagemann, S., Richter, I., Soares, P. M. M., Hall, A., & Mearns, L. O. (2017). Towards process-informed bias correction of climate change simulations. Nature Climate Change, 7(11), 764–773. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3418 

McTaggart-Cowan, R., Vaillancourt, P. A., Zadra, A., Chamberland, S., Charron, M., Corvec, S., Milbrandt, J. A., Paquin-Ricard, D., Patoine, A., Roch, M., Separovic, L., & Yang, J. (2019). Modernization of Atmospheric Physics Parameterization in Canadian NWP. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11(11), 3593–3635. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001781 

Mearns, L., McGinnis, S., Korytina, D., Arritt, R., Biner, S., Bukovsky, M., Chang, H.-I., Christensen, O., Herzmann, D., Jiao, Y., Kharin, S., Lazare, M., Nikulin, G., Qian, M., Scinocca, J., Winger, K., Castro, C., Frigon, A., Gutowski, W., & Kessenich, L. (2017). The NA-CORDEX dataset [netCDF]. NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research. https://doi.org/10.5065/D6SJ1JCH 

Mendoza, P. A., Mizukami, N., Ikeda, K., Clark, M. P., Gutmann, E. D., Arnold, J. R., Brekke, L. D., & Rajagopalan, B. (2016). Effects of different regional climate model resolution and forcing scales on projected hydrologic changes. Journal of Hydrology, 541, 1003–1019. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.08.010 

Meredith, E. P., Rust, H. W., & Ulbrich, U. (2018). A classification algorithm for selective dynamical downscaling of precipitation extremes. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22(8), 4183–4200. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4183-2018 

Messmer, M., & Simmonds, I. (2021). Global analysis of cyclone-induced compound precipitation and wind extreme events. Weather and Climate Extremes, 32, 100324. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100324 

Micovic, Z., Schaefer, M. G., & Barker, B. L. (2017). Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analyses for Stochastic Flood Hazard Simulation. In Sensitivity Analysis in Earth Observation Modelling (pp. 213–234). https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-803011-0.00011-2 

Milbrandt, J. A., & Morrison, H. (2016). Parameterization of Cloud Microphysics Based on the Prediction of Bulk Ice Particle Properties. Part III: Introduction of Multiple Free Categories. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 73(3), 975–995. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0204.1 

Muñoz-Sabater, J., Dutra, E., Agustí-Panareda, A., Albergel, C., Arduini, G., Balsamo, G., Boussetta, S., Choulga, M., Harrigan, S., Hersbach, H., Martens, B., Miralles, D. G., Piles, M., Rodríguez-Fernández, N. J., Zsoter, E., Buontempo, C., & Thépaut, J.-N. (2021). ERA5-Land: A state-of-the-art global reanalysis dataset for land applications. Data, Algorithms, and Models. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2021-82 

Ødemark, K., Müller, M., & Tveito, O. E. (2021). Changing Lateral Boundary Conditions for Probable Maximum Precipitation Studies: A Physically Consistent Approach. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22(1), 113-123. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0070.1  

Ohara, N., Kavvas, M. L., Kure, S., Chen, Z. Q., Jang, S., & Tan, E. (2011). Physically Based Estimation of Maximum Precipitation over American River Watershed, California. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 16(4), 351–361. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000324 

O’Neill, B. C., Oppenheimer, M., Warren, R., Hallegatte, S., Kopp, R. E., Pörtner, H. O., Scholes, R., Birkmann, J., Foden, W., Licker, R., Mach, K. J., Marbaix, P., Mastrandrea, M. D., Price, J., Takahashi, K., Van Ypersele, J.-P., & Yohe, G. (2017). IPCC reasons for concern regarding climate change risks. Nature Climate Change, 7(1), 28–37. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3179 

Paquin, D., Frigon, A., & Kunkel, K. E. (2016). Evaluation of Total Precipitable Water from CRCM4 using the NVAP-MEaSUREs Dataset and ERA-Interim Reanalysis Data. Atmosphere-Ocean, 54(5), 541–548. https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2016.1230043 

Poan, E. D., Gachon, P., Laprise, R., Aider, R., & Dueymes, G. (2018). Investigating added value of regional climate modeling in North American winter storm track simulations. Climate Dynamics, 50(5–6), 1799–1818. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3723-9 

Rasmussen, K. L., Prein, A. F., Rasmussen, R. M., Ikeda, K., & Liu, C. (2020). Changes in the convective population and thermodynamic environments in convection-permitting regional climate simulations over the United States. Climate Dynamics, 55(1–2), 383–408. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-4000-7 

Reszler, C., Switanek, M. B., & Truhetz, H. (2018). Convection-permitting regional climate simulations for representing floods in small- and medium-sized catchments in the Eastern Alps. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 18(10), 2653–2674. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2653-2018 

Rhoades, A. M., Risser, M. D., Stone, D. A., Wehner, M. F., & Jones, A. D. (2021). Implications of warming on western United States landfalling atmospheric rivers and their flood damages. Weather and Climate Extremes, 32, 100326. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100326 

Roberts, N. (2008). Assessing the spatial and temporal variation in the skill of precipitation forecasts from an NWP model. Meteorological Applications, 15(1), 163–169. https://doi.org/10.1002/met.57 

Rousseau, A. N., Klein, I. M., Freudiger, D., Gagnon, P., Frigon, A., & Ratté-Fortin, C. (2014). Development of a methodology to evaluate probable maximum precipitation (PMP) under changing climate conditions: Application to southern Quebec, Canada. Journal of Hydrology, 519, 3094–3109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.10.053 

Roy, P., Rondeau-Genesse, G., Jalbert, J., & Fournier, É. (2024). Climate scenarios of extreme precipitation using a combination of parametric and non-parametric bias correction methods in the province of Québec. Canadian Water Resources Journal / Revue Canadienne Des Ressources Hydriques, 49(1), 23–39. https://doi.org/10.1080/07011784.2023.2220682 

Salas, J. D., Anderson, M. L., Papalexiou, S. M., & Frances, F. (2020). PMP and climate variability and change: A review. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 25(12). https://hdl.handle.net/11420/57869 

Salas, J.D., Gavilan, G., Salas, F.R., Julien, P.Y., & Abdullah, J. (2018). Uncertainty of the PMP and PMF. Handbook of Engineering Hydrology (Three-Volume Set).  

Semie, A. G., & Bony, S. (2020). Relationship Between Precipitation Extremes and Convective Organization Inferred From Satellite Observations. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(9), e2019GL086927. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086927 

Shepherd, T. G., Boyd, E., Calel, R. A., Chapman, S. C., Dessai, S., Dima-West, I. M., Fowler, H. J., James, R., Maraun, D., Martius, O., Senior, C. A., Sobel, A. H., Stainforth, D. A., Tett, S. F. B., Trenberth, K. E., van den Hurk, B. J. J. M., Watkins, N. W., Wilby, R. L., & Zenghelis, D. A. (2018). Storylines: An alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change. Climatic Change, 151(3–4), 555–571. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2317-9 

Singh, A., Singh, V. P., & Ar, B. (2018). Computation of probable maximum precipitation and its uncertainty. International Journal of Hydrology, 2(4). https://doi.org/10.15406/ijh.2018.02.00118 

Singh, M. S., & O’Gorman, P. A. (2014). Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature. Geophysical Research Letters, 41(16), 6037–6044. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061222 

The Global Risks Report (2021). The Global Risks Report 2021, 16th Edition, the World Economic Forum. ISBN: 978-2-940631-24-7, https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_The_Global_Risks_Report_2021.pdf 

Torma, C., Giorgi, F., & Coppola, E. (2015). Added value of regional climate modeling over areas characterized by complex terrain—Precipitation over the Alps. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 120(9), 3957–3972. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD022781 

UNDRR (2019). Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction, Geneva, Switzerland, United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR). https://gar.undrr.org/sites/default/files/reports/2019-05/full_gar_report.pdf 

van der Wiel, K., Selten, F. M., Bintanja, R., Blackport, R., & Screen, J. A. (2020). Ensemble climate-impact modelling: Extreme impacts from moderate meteorological conditions. Environmental Research Letters, 15, 034050. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7668  

Vergara-Temprado, J., Ban, N., & Schär, C. (2021). Extreme Sub-Hourly Precipitation Intensities Scale Close to the Clausius-Clapeyron Rate Over Europe. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(3), e2020GL089506. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089506 

Verseghy, D. L. (2000). The Canadian land surface scheme (CLASS): Its history and future. Atmosphere-Ocean, 38(1), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2000.9649637 

Wazneh, H., Gachon, P., Laprise, R., De Vernal, A., & Tremblay, B. (2021). Atmospheric blocking events in the North Atlantic: Trends and links to climate anomalies and teleconnections. Climate Dynamics, 56(7–8), 2199–2221. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05583-x 

Westra, S., Fowler, H. J., Evans, J. P., Alexander, L. V., Berg, P., Johnson, F., Kendon, E. J., Lenderink, G., & Roberts, N. M. (2014). Future changes to the intensity and frequency of short-duration extreme rainfall: FUTURE INTENSITY OF SUB-DAILY RAINFALL. Reviews of Geophysics, 52(3), 522–555. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014RG000464 

World Meteorological Organization (WMO). (2009). Manual on estimation of Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) (WMO-No. 1045). https://library.wmo.int/idurl/4/35708 

WMO. (2021a). Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update. https://hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk/wmolc/WMO_GADCU_2020.pdf 

WMO. (2021b). State of the Global Climate 2020 (WMO-No. 1264; p. 56 p.). https://library.wmo.int/idurl/4/56247 

WMO (2021c). Atlas of Mortality and Economic Losses from Weather, Climate and Water Extremes (1970–2019). WMO-No. 1267, 90 p., https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/8df884dbd4e849c89d4b1128fa5dc1d6 

Zadra, A., Caya, D., Côté, J., Dugas, B., Jones, C., Laprise, R., Winger, K., & Caron, L. (2008). The next Canadian Regional Climate Model. Physics in Canada, 64, 75–83. 

Zhang, X., Alexander, L., Hegerl, G. C., Jones, P., Tank, A. K., Peterson, T. C., Trewin, B., & Zwiers, F. W. (2011). Indices for monitoring changes in extremes based on daily temperature and precipitation data. WIREs Climate Change, 2(6), 851–870. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.147